2025 Topps Chrome Football Odds

2025 · Pull rates by box type

Pull Odds by Card Group

See the odds of pulling each card group in 2025 Topps Chrome Football. Odds vary by box type — select a box below to see exact pull rates for that configuration. Orange rows are odds of 1:10 or better.

Filter by box type

Hobby HTA Jumbo Mega Box Hanger Value Box

Card GroupCategoryCardsOdds% Chance

Base Cards

Base

300

1:1

100%

Refractor

1:4

25.0%

Teal Refractor

1:117

0.855%

Pink Refractor

1:140

0.714%

Aqua Refractor

1:175

0.571%

Blue Refractor

1:232

0.431%

Green Refractor/99

1:352

0.284%

Purple Refractor/75

1:464

0.216%

Gold Refractor/50

1:696

0.144%

White Refractor/25

1:1,161

0.086%

Orange Refractor/25

1:1,392

0.072%

Black Refractor/10

1:3,476

0.029%

Red Refractor/5

1:6,987

0.014%

Superfractor/1

1:34,585

<0.01%

Rookies

Base

100

1:1

100%

Rookie Refractor

1:7

14.3%

Rookie Teal Refractor

1:350

0.286%

Rookie Pink Refractor

1:418

0.239%

Rookie Aqua Refractor

1:525

0.190%

Rookie Blue Refractor

1:696

0.144%

Rookie Green Refractor/99

1:1,055

0.095%

Rookie Purple Refractor/75

1:1,392

0.072%

Rookie Gold Refractor/50

1:2,088

0.048%

Rookie White Refractor/25

1:3,482

0.029%

Rookie Orange Refractor/25

1:4,176

0.024%

Rookie Black Refractor/10

1:10,428

<0.01%

Rookie Red Refractor/5

1:20,961

<0.01%

Rookie Superfractor/1

1:103,754

<0.01%

Base Cards Team Camo Variation

Variation

300

1:155

0.645%

Base Cards Image Variation

Variation

1:234

0.427%

Green Refractor/99

1:3,518

0.028%

Gold Refractor/50

1:6,964

0.014%

Orange Refractor/25

1:13,927

<0.01%

Black Refractor/10

1:34,585

<0.01%

Red Refractor/5

1:69,170

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:345,847

<0.01%

Rookies Image Variation

Variation

1:351

0.285%

Green Refractor/99

1:5,267

0.019%

Gold Refractor/50

1:10,428

<0.01%

Orange Refractor/25

1:20,961

<0.01%

Black Refractor/10

1:51,877

<0.01%

Red Refractor/5

1:103,754

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:518,770

<0.01%

Rookies Team Camo Variation

Variation

1:464

0.216%

Chrome Base Etch Variation

Variation

1:5,188

0.019%

Gold Refractor/50

1:2,057

0.049%

Orange Refractor/25

1:4,118

0.024%

Black Refractor/10

1:10,273

<0.01%

Red Refractor/5

1:20,546

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:103,754

<0.01%

Chrome Rookies Etch Variation

Variation

1:5,188

0.019%

Gold Refractor/50

1:2,057

0.049%

Orange Refractor/25

1:4,118

0.024%

Black Refractor/10

1:10,273

<0.01%

Red Refractor/5

1:20,546

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:103,754

<0.01%

Base Cards Lightboard Logo Variation

Variation

300

N/A

—

Rookies Lightboard Logo Variation

Variation

100

N/A

—

Power Players

Insert

1:9

11.1%

Refractor

1:49

2.04%

Yellow Refractor

1:638

0.157%

Pink Refractor

1:701

0.143%

Aqua Refractor

1:881

0.114%

Blue Refractor

1:1,169

0.086%

Green Refractor/99

1:1,771

0.056%

Gold Refractor/50

1:3,506

0.029%

Orange Refractor/25

1:7,011

0.014%

Red Refractor/5

1:35,171

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:188,644

<0.01%

Legends of the Gridiron

Insert

1:9

11.1%

Refractor

1:49

2.04%

Yellow Refractor

1:638

0.157%

Pink Refractor

1:701

0.143%

Aqua Refractor

1:881

0.114%

Blue Refractor

1:1,169

0.086%

Green Refractor/99

1:1,771

0.056%

Gold Refractor/50

1:3,506

0.029%

Orange Refractor/25

1:7,011

0.014%

Red Refractor/5

1:35,171

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:129,693

<0.01%

1975 Topps

Insert

1:11

9.09%

Refractor

1:56

1.79%

Yellow Refractor

1:729

0.137%

Pink Refractor

1:801

0.125%

Aqua Refractor

1:1,007

0.099%

Blue Refractor

1:1,336

0.075%

Green Refractor/99

1:2,023

0.049%

Gold Refractor/50

1:4,006

0.025%

Orange Refractor/25

1:8,012

0.012%

Red Refractor/5

1:40,688

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:207,508

<0.01%

Fortune 15

Insert

1:11

9.09%

Refractor

1:56

1.79%

Yellow Refractor

1:729

0.137%

Pink Refractor

1:801

0.125%

Aqua Refractor

1:1,007

0.099%

Blue Refractor

1:1,336

0.075%

Green Refractor/99

1:2,023

0.049%

Gold Refractor/50

1:4,006

0.025%

Orange Refractor/25

1:8,012

0.012%

Red Refractor/5

1:40,688

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:138,339

<0.01%

Future Stars

Insert

1:15

6.67%

Refractor

1:78

1.28%

Yellow Refractor

1:1,020

0.098%

Pink Refractor

1:1,122

0.089%

Aqua Refractor

1:1,409

0.071%

Blue Refractor

1:1,870

0.053%

Green Refractor/99

1:2,831

0.035%

Gold Refractor/50

1:5,609

0.018%

Orange Refractor/25

1:11,217

<0.01%

Red Refractor/5

1:56,084

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:188,644

<0.01%

All Chrome Team

Insert

1:15

6.67%

Refractor

1:78

1.28%

Yellow Refractor

1:1,020

0.098%

Pink Refractor

1:1,122

0.089%

Aqua Refractor

1:1,409

0.071%

Blue Refractor

1:1,870

0.053%

Green Refractor/99

1:2,831

0.035%

Gold Refractor/50

1:5,609

0.018%

Orange Refractor/25

1:11,217

<0.01%

Red Refractor/5

1:56,084

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:188,644

<0.01%

Shadow Etch

Insert

1:387

0.258%

Chrome Radiating Rookies

Insert

1:580

0.172%

Refractor

Not Available

—

Yellow Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor/99

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor/50

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor/25

Not Available

—

Red Refractor/5

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

1:296,440

<0.01%

Game Genies

Insert

1:928

0.108%

Superfractor/1

1:230,565

<0.01%

Tecmo

Insert

1:928

0.108%

Superfractor/1

1:230,565

<0.01%

Ultra Violet

Insert

1:1,160

0.086%

Superfractor/1

1:345,847

<0.01%

Lightning Leaders

Insert

1:1,160

0.086%

Superfractor/1

1:345,847

<0.01%

Kaiju

Insert

1:2,319

0.043%

Superfractor/1

1:518,770

<0.01%

Helix

Insert

1:2,559

0.039%

Superfractor/1

1:188,644

<0.01%

Let's Go!

Insert

1:48,258

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:1,037,540

<0.01%

Urban Legends

Insert

N/A

—

Refractor

Not Available

—

Yellow Refractor

Not Available

—

Pink Refractor

Not Available

—

Aqua Refractor

Not Available

—

Blue Refractor

Not Available

—

Green Refractor/99

Not Available

—

Gold Refractor/50

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor/25

Not Available

—

Red Refractor/5

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Fanatical

Insert

N/A

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Rookies Autograph Variation

Auto

1:109

0.917%

Gold Refractor/50

1:1,628

0.061%

Orange Refractor/25

1:3,808

0.026%

Black Refractor/10

1:9,390

0.011%

Red Refractor/5

1:18,865

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:83,004

<0.01%

1990 Topps Football Autographs

Auto

1:3,391

0.029%

Gold Refractor/50

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor/25

1:6,760

0.015%

Black Refractor/10

1:16,212

<0.01%

Red Refractor/5

1:32,424

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:148,220

<0.01%

Chrome Legends Autographs

Auto

1:3,654

0.027%

Gold Refractor/50

1:3,894

0.026%

Orange Refractor/25

1:7,465

0.013%

Black Refractor/10

1:18,865

<0.01%

Red Refractor/5

1:37,055

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:172,924

<0.01%

Future Stars Autographs

Auto

1:3,968

0.025%

Gold Refractor/50

1:4,210

0.024%

Orange Refractor/25

1:8,436

0.012%

Black Refractor/10

1:20,961

<0.01%

Red Refractor/5

1:42,349

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:188,644

<0.01%

Base Cards Autograph Variation

Auto

1:7,546

0.013%

Gold Refractor/50

1:2,927

0.034%

Orange Refractor/25

1:5,846

0.017%

Black Refractor/10

1:14,717

<0.01%

Red Refractor/5

1:29,644

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:115,283

<0.01%

Dual Autographs

Auto

1:7,743

0.013%

Gold Refractor/50

1:7,743

0.013%

Orange Refractor/25

1:15,486

<0.01%

Black Refractor/10

1:38,428

<0.01%

Red Refractor/5

1:76,855

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:415,016

<0.01%

Hall of Chrome Autographs

Auto

1:8,505

0.012%

Gold Refractor/50

1:4,218

0.024%

Orange Refractor/25

1:8,402

0.012%

Black Refractor/10

1:20,961

<0.01%

Red Refractor/5

1:42,349

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:207,508

<0.01%

Chromographs

Auto

1:9,264

0.011%

Gold Refractor/50

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor/25

1:14,411

<0.01%

Black Refractor/10

1:35,778

<0.01%

Red Refractor/5

1:74,110

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:207,508

<0.01%

Tecmo Autographs

Auto

1:36,405

<0.01%

Gold Refractor/50

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor/25

Not Available

—

Black Refractor/10

Not Available

—

Red Refractor/5

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

1:259,385

<0.01%

Rookie Autographs Variation

Auto

N/A

—

Gold Refractor/50

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor/25

Not Available

—

Black Refractor/10

Not Available

—

Red Refractor/5

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

Topps Chrome Rookie Relics

Relic

N/A

—

Gold Refractor/50

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor/25

Not Available

—

Green Refractor/10

Not Available

—

Red Refractor/5

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

First Year Fabric

Relic

N/A

—

Gold Refractor/50

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor/25

Not Available

—

Green Refractor/10

Not Available

—

Red Refractor/5

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

NFL Honors Gold Shield Relics

Relic

N/A

—

Topps Chrome Rookie Patch Autographs

Auto Relic

1:678

0.147%

Gold Refractor/50

1:2,459

0.041%

Orange Refractor/25

1:4,918

0.020%

Green Refractor/10

Not Available

—

Red Refractor/5

1:24,704

<0.01%

Superfractor/1

1:122,064

<0.01%

Rookie Premiere Patch Autographs

Auto Relic

N/A

—

Gold Refractor/50

Not Available

—

Orange Refractor/25

Not Available

—

Black Refractor/10

Not Available

—

Red Refractor/5

Not Available

—

Superfractor/1

Not Available

—

NFL Honors Gold Shield Autographs

Auto Relic

N/A

—

Expected Pulls Calculator

Combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category.

Guaranteed

Base Cards

In every pack

1.61%

Variations

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

54.6%

Inserts

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

1.05%

Autographs

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

0.147%

Relics & Patches

Combined odds across all groups (per pack)

Note: Percentages represent the combined per-pack probability across all groups in each category. These are statistical averages — actual results vary. Relics and Patch Autos without published odds are not included.

Box Type Comparison

Key pulls side-by-side across all box types.

Card GroupHobbyHTA JumboMega BoxHangerValue Box

Base Cards300 cards

1:1

100%

1:1

100%

1:1

100%

1:1

100%

1:1

100%

Rookie Auto Variation94 cards

1:109

0.917%

1:31

3.23%

1:433

0.231%

1:312

0.321%

1:1,297

0.077%

Rookie Patch Auto38 cards

1:678

0.147%

1:160

0.625%

Not Available

Shadow Etch30 cards

1:387

0.258%

1:155

0.645%

Not Available

Helix30 cards

1:2,559

0.039%

1:859

0.116%

1:10,005

<0.01%

1:4,798

0.021%

1:20,007

<0.01%

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